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Showing posts from December, 2024

New Tactics: First Known Islamic State Mozambique (IS-M) Attack on Tourist Destination

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Authored by:  Cara Rau , Political and Intelligence Analyst focussed on Jihadism and Political Violence  Warning: This report contains descriptions of graphic violence.  Bottom Line Up Front On 30 April 2025, Islamic State Mozambique (IS-M) claimed credit for an attack that targeted the Kambako hunting area of the Chapungu-Kambako Safari (CKS) camp in the Niassa Special Reserve. This is the first known targeting  of a tourist destination in Mozambique by IS-M. Images from Islamic State show at least five victims who appear to be guards or rangers based on their clothing. Additionally, it was confirmed that at least two camp workers were beheaded. The camp was also looted and set alight.  Niassa Reserve is located on the border of the Niassa and Cabo Delgado Provinces. Attacks by the group in Niassa Province are very rare and the IS-M activity is concentrated in Cabo Delgado.  IS-M Communications  It is notable that Islamic State released claims of cre...

Geopolitical Forecast For 2025

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  Shipping containers violently connect, depicting the elevated levels of competition between the U.S. and China.  Photo credit: Heartland Bank.   The current geopolitical landscape is marked by unprecedented instability, with multiple conflicts and power shifts contributing to a complex and volatile environment. As we approach 2025, the following analysis synthesizes recent developments and anticipates future trends across various regions. Global Conflict Overview: 1) Europe: The Russia-Ukraine War The ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine remains a focal point of European instability. This war has not only resulted in significant military and civilian casualties but has also disrupted energy supplies and economic stability across the continent. The prospect of a protracted conflict raises concerns about a winter of discontent, particularly as European nations grapple with energy shortages exacerbated by sanctions on Russia. The likelihood of escalation remains hig...