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Showing posts from December, 2024

THE WISDOM DROUGHT THE HIDDEN IRONY OF MODERN CORPORATE INTELLIGENCE

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  About the Author Jasmine Opperman is a world-renowned intelligence professional specialising in extremism and intelligence within the mining sector. She served for over 20 years in the South African intelligence services, rising to the position of Provincial Head of the Eastern Cape for the National Intelligence Agency (NIA). She is currently an advisor and senior intelligence analyst for both Fulcrum Analytics and the Fulcrum Intel Digest service.  We tend to think of intelligence failures as the domain of spies and secret agencies. But when a Fortune 500 company spends millions on market research and still fails to see a disruptive competitor coming, it is suffering from the exact same pathology: a wisdom drought. Executive Summary In an era defined by exponential data generation and complex transnational threats, such as Southern Africa's cross-border illicit mining syndicates, corporate survival demands a continuous, technology-augmented intelligence ecosystem. This pape...

Geopolitical Forecast For 2025

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  Shipping containers violently connect, depicting the elevated levels of competition between the U.S. and China.  Photo credit: Heartland Bank.   The current geopolitical landscape is marked by unprecedented instability, with multiple conflicts and power shifts contributing to a complex and volatile environment. As we approach 2025, the following analysis synthesizes recent developments and anticipates future trends across various regions. Global Conflict Overview: 1) Europe: The Russia-Ukraine War The ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine remains a focal point of European instability. This war has not only resulted in significant military and civilian casualties but has also disrupted energy supplies and economic stability across the continent. The prospect of a protracted conflict raises concerns about a winter of discontent, particularly as European nations grapple with energy shortages exacerbated by sanctions on Russia. The likelihood of escalation remains hig...