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Showing posts from December, 2024

The Quiet Harvest: Corporate Espionage Targeting Foreign Businesses in Africa and the Intelligence Gap That Enables It

About the author:  Nijat Babazade Threat Intelligence analyst Institution: FH BFI Vienna   . Most foreign businesses operating in Africa carry a mental map of the risks they face. Armed conflict in unstable zones. Regulatory unpredictability. Fraud at the transactional level. What rarely appears on that map is the more deliberate, structured threat: the systematic targeting of their people, their data, and their competitive intelligence by actors with the patience and capability to wait months before taking anything of value. Corporate espionage against foreign firms in Africa is not a marginal phenomenon. It is a growth sector, and the gap between how most corporate security functions are configured and what the actual threat environment demands has never been wider. This article examines who is running these operations, how they work in practice, what the early indicators look like, and what a protective intelligence function needs to do differently. It tries to do so wi...

Geopolitical Forecast For 2025

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  Shipping containers violently connect, depicting the elevated levels of competition between the U.S. and China.  Photo credit: Heartland Bank.   The current geopolitical landscape is marked by unprecedented instability, with multiple conflicts and power shifts contributing to a complex and volatile environment. As we approach 2025, the following analysis synthesizes recent developments and anticipates future trends across various regions. Global Conflict Overview: 1) Europe: The Russia-Ukraine War The ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine remains a focal point of European instability. This war has not only resulted in significant military and civilian casualties but has also disrupted energy supplies and economic stability across the continent. The prospect of a protracted conflict raises concerns about a winter of discontent, particularly as European nations grapple with energy shortages exacerbated by sanctions on Russia. The likelihood of escalation remains hig...