Perennial al-Shabaab: A Case for International Intervention Against Domestic Failures

By
Image
  al-Shabaab fighters outside of Somalia. Source: sahistory.org. About the author: Sam Hanson is a certified intelligence analyst and a student of International Relations and Economics at Pitzer College (United States). His research interests include intelligence commonization, international security, East Asian geopolitical relations, cross-border terrorism, and astropolitics. Hanson is currently a fellow at the Keck Center for International and Strategic Studies and also holds a position as course advisor at ALCON Intelligence Ltd. BLUF ·           al-Shabaab's entrenchment in Somalia persists due to a convergence of ideological absolutism, state fragility, and transnational network support that no unilateral domestic solution can adequately address.   ·             An unexplored but viable path forward lies in formally classifying the group's conduct as Crimes Against Humanity u...
Post a Comment

Disclaimer

By

Fulcrum Analytics wishes to emphasize that it does not endorse or adopt the opinions or statements expressed by authors whose content is shared on this platform. Consequently, Fulcrum Analytics shall not be liable for any loss or damage, direct or indirect, arising from the use or reliance upon this content.

 

Popular posts from this blog

Examining the security situation on the African Continent

By
Image
Author: Cara Rau, Political and Intelligence Analyst  WARNING: THIS REPORT CONTAINS DESCRIPTIONS OF GRAPHIC VIOLENCE AND CONTENT SOME MAY FIND DISTURBING. READER DISCRETION IS ADVISED.  Bottom Line Up Front  Despite the world's largest displacement crisis affecting Sudan, and Burkina Faso being ranked by the Global Terrorism Index (GTI) in 2025 as the nation the most affected by terrorism in the world, the mainstream media still appears to favour reporting on Gaza and Ukraine. Of course these conflicts deserve our attention, but so do other parts of the world, specifically Africa, a continent the world media has left behind.  South Africa   Despite South Africa not being at war nor being actively targeted by Jihadist insurgents, the security situation in the country remains dire. Violent crime remains a threat with gender-based violence, gang violence, organised crime and other related topics continuing to make local headlines. The security situation in ...
Read more

Predictive Geopolitical Outlook for 2026: Multipolarity, Strategic Competition, and Emerging Regional Agency

By
Image
  The year 2026 is anticipated to be a pivotal moment in the transformation of the global landscape as the international system continues its transition toward a multipolar world. Key nations - notably China, the United States, India, and Russia - are expected to adjust their geopolitical strategies to gain economic benefits, political clout, and security interests. Experts predict that geopolitical rivalry will become more intense without leading to large-scale conflict, primarily because economic interdependence remains a stabilizing factor among competing blocs. Instead, 2026 is likely to be marked by transactional diplomacy, contested areas of influence, and increased fragmentation within global governance frameworks. This shift reveals weaknesses in the declining unipolar order while offering emerging regions new opportunities to exert greater strategic influence.   Africa is set to become one of the most significant of these emerging regions. With an anticipated continen...
Read more

Botswana’s Diamond Dilemma: The Impact of Lab-Grown Diamonds and De Beers’ Sale on the SADC Region

By
Image
       Since its inception in 1888, De Beers has maintained a stronghold on the international diamond market through a cartel-like system that controlled supply and kept prices elevated. The longstanding collaboration between De Beers and the Botswana government, through their equally owned venture Debswana, has been a benchmark for resource management and fair distribution of benefits in Africa (Wyk, 2010). However, Anglo American's 2024 announcement to withdraw from De Beers signifies a pivotal change. Experts believe that Anglo's move was influenced by decreasing profit margins and increasing competition from synthetic diamond producers, whose market share expanded from 1% in 2015 to over 15% by 2023 (Shah, 2025; Bain & Company, 2023). This shift prompts concerns about the viability of Botswana's diamond-driven economic model, especially since De Beers has traditionally overseen not just mining but also the marketing, branding, and integration of Botswana'...
Read more