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Showing posts from March, 2025

Guardians of the Truth TV: Examining the Islamic State-Supportive Swahili-and-Luganda-Language Propaganda Ecosystem

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GRAPHIC CONTENT WARNING: This article contains descriptions of terrorism and graphic violence that some may find disturbing. Reader discretion is advised.  Guardians of the Truth (G.O.T) Television Official Logo Bottom Line Up Front An Islamic State (IS) supportive propaganda and communications outlet has emerged on numerous social media platforms. The outlet, Guardians of the Truth TV, notably sends its messaging in Swahili and Luganda to target and appeal to large groups of audiences in East Africa and the Great Lakes Region, specifically in Uganda. Estimates vary, but for context, one source states that there are over 150 million Swahili speakers and another states there are about 6 million native Luganda speakers, mostly concentrated in Uganda.  Map of areas where Swahili is spoken -  Source Uganda on Map - Source The emergence of Guardians of the Truth TV comes after Islamic State Central Africa (ISCAP) released a  video   which threatened attacks ag...
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The Implications of SADC Troop Withdrawal from Eastern Congo on Regional Stability

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                                                                    Photo credits: The Chronicle ZW The withdrawal of SADC troops from the Eastern Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) represents a significant turning point in the conflict dynamics within the region. SADC's military intervention, which has for years remained at the core of containing the activities of armed militias and supporting the government of the DRC. The withdrawal of these troops raises pressing questions about the future of regional stability, security governance, and the broader implications for the DRC and its neighbours. The rationale behind this withdrawal, the immediate security void that it creates, and the potential for increased conflict are all paramount in ascertaining the long-term stability of the region. The SADC and EAC Foreign Minis...
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JNIM

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JNIM Fighters in the Sahel. Photo credits: Long War Journal Jama'at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM), al-Qaeda's most formidable African affiliate, has evolved into a sophisticated hybrid threat across the Sahel, effectively combining guerrilla warfare,  economic exploitation, and community co-option, generating an estimated annual revenue exceeding $100 million from illicit activities,  and achieving a battlefield lethality surpassing regional military capabilities to control territories larger than Belgium;  this short analysis, drawing upon classified intelligence, defector accounts, and field observations, examines JNIM’s structure and development,  revealing an ideological shift from global jihad to localised legitimacy under Iyad Ag Ghaly, wherein the group strategically exploits ethnic grievances, climate vulnerabilities,  and anti-colonial sentiment, as evidenced by their 2023 "Charter of the Sahel" aiming for an "Islamic...
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