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Showing posts from June, 2025

Examining the security situation on the African Continent

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Author: Cara Rau, Political and Intelligence Analyst  WARNING: THIS REPORT CONTAINS DESCRIPTIONS OF GRAPHIC VIOLENCE AND CONTENT SOME MAY FIND DISTURBING. READER DISCRETION IS ADVISED.  Bottom Line Up Front  Despite the world's largest displacement crisis affecting Sudan, and Burkina Faso being ranked by the Global Terrorism Index (GTI) in 2025 as the nation the most affected by terrorism in the world, the mainstream media still appears to favour reporting on Gaza and Ukraine. Of course these conflicts deserve our attention, but so do other parts of the world, specifically Africa, a continent the world media has left behind.  South Africa   Despite South Africa not being at war nor being actively targeted by Jihadist insurgents, the security situation in the country remains dire. Violent crime remains a threat with gender-based violence, gang violence, organised crime and other related topics continuing to make local headlines. The security situation in ...

Boko Haram

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A Boko Haram flag placed on a electrical pole For over a decade and a half, the shadowy group known as Boko Haram has cast a long, brutal shadow across Nigeria and the broader Lake Chad Basin.  From its enigmatic origins to its current splintered state, this Islamist militant organisation has defied numerous attempts at eradication, leaving a trail of unimaginable suffering, displacement,  and economic devastation in its wake.  This analysis delves into the genesis, ideology, operational methods, successes, failures, and the perplexing future of a group whose name has become synonymous with terror. Origins Boko Haram, officially known as Jama'atu Ahlis-Sunna Lidda'Awati Wal-Jihad ("People Committed to the Prophet's Teachings for Propagation and Jihad"), emerged in Maiduguri, Borno State,  northeastern Nigeria, in 2002.  Its founder, the charismatic preacher Mohammed Yusuf, initially advocated a non-violent approach, focusing on Isla...

At a Diplomatic Crossroads: Recalibrating U.S.–South Africa Relations in a Multipolar World

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South Africa and the United States have experienced a diplomatic relationship characterized by both alignment and discord, influenced by mutual economic interests, ideological differences, and changing global dynamics. What started as initial commercial interactions in the 18th century has developed into a complex and sometimes contentious relationship, shaped by evolving strategic priorities, differing moral perspectives, and South Africa's increasing role as a middle power. Initial Interactions and Colonial Influences The origins of U.S.-South African relations trace back to 1799, when consular ties were first established in Cape Town, then under British control. In the 19th century, trade grew as American traders sought access to South Africa's burgeoning mineral wealth, especially during the diamond and gold rushes. Despite this increasing engagement, U.S. policy towards the region was largely influenced by British perspectives. During the Second Boer War (1899–1902), t...