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Showing posts from October, 2025

Rapid Sitrep: Former JNIM Commander Who Defected to ISSP Details Reasons Behind Decision

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Saaʿd Bottom Line Up Front On 16 February 2026, it was posted in an Islamic State chatroom that a former commander of al-Qaeda's West African branch, Jama'at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM), known by the name Saaʿd, has released several audio recordings detailing his reasoning for his defection to Islamic State Sahel Province (ISSP).  What you need to know At the time of this report, Saaʿd's date of defection is unclear. While Fulcrum Intel Digest will update this piece when we have the recordings, for now we know the following reasons from the chatroom: The commander feels that Al-Qaeda leadership do not implement Sharia "in it's entirety", despite his own efforts to implement it how he saw fit during several meetings with senior leaders from both JNIM and Al-Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM).   Further, Saaʿd's view is that the accusation from Al-Qaeda that ISSP are "Kharijites" is baseless and has “no foundation in the Quran  or the Sun...

Africa and the Emerging Multipolar World Order: Repositioning the Continent through Strategic Diplomacy and Economic Engagement

Author: Oyelayo Daniel Adeyinka is a student of English and International Studies at Osun State University (UNIOSUN). His academic focus extends to literary studies and the intersection of media, diplomacy, and leadership. As an aspiring diplomat and an advocate for Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs 4, 11, 16, & 17), he is passionate about contributing to international peace, effective communication, and global cooperation. Daniel currently serves as the Academic Coordinator and Assistant General Coordinator of the Deeper Life Campus Fellowship, UNIOSUN Ikire Chapter. Publisher: Fulcrum Analytics. Introduction The global power structure has undergone a significant transformation since the end of the Cold War (1947–1991). The unipolar world order, led and dominated by the United States, has gradually given way to a multipolar international system marked by China's emergence, Russia's re-emergence, and new regional behemoths like India and Brazil. This is largely reshufflin...

The Anatomy of a Hijacking Epidemic

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  The Night Shift Just after midnight, a small red dot flickers off on a map of Johannesburg’s northern suburbs. In a low-lit operations room, a man in a black fleece jacket leans closer to his monitor, watching the signal drop. For him, it’s not panic. It’s protocol. He’s seen this before — the moment when a vehicle’s transponder goes dark, its tracking signal swallowed by silence. He types a quick note into the system: Possible jammer. Initiate chase. Within minutes, a recovery team is in motion — two vehicles, three men, body armor under their jackets, radios hissing in the dark. They speak in shorthand, a dialect of adrenaline and routine. Coordinates, grid squares, engine codes. Each man knows his part, each kilometer a calculation of risk and chance. They are not heroes. They are technicians of crisis — private soldiers in an undeclared war. And somewhere out there, on the other end of that vanished signal, is another South African whose night has just been rewritten. The Sys...